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Portman Will Be Romney VP Choice

May 30, 2012

ImageMitt Romney’s choice of vice presidential running mate will directly affect the outcome of the election.  Everyone wants to know who will be a ballot box and heartbeat away from the Presidency.  Historically, running mates can make or break a candidate, but sometimes they appear to be an afterthought on the ticket, often a failed challenger or favorite son candidate. 

George H.W. Bush lost the 1980 Republican nomination to Ronald Reagan, and despite George’s oft-quoted line about Ron’s “voodoo economics, Reagan chose him as a running mate.  Eight years later, Bush secured the nomination but inexplicably chose Indiana Senator Dan Quayle, ostensibly to provide some youth and vigor  to the ticket but ultimately serving as late night comedian fodder.

John McCain’s choice of Sarah Palin was a the right idea, attempting to strengthen his appeal to conservatives and women, but  the idea backfired when many of the Hillary Clinton supporters and independent women the GOP were trying to woo were instead turned off by the Alaskan governor.

One of the smartest choices of all time was Sen. John Kennedy, an Eastern Catholic, choosing Texas Senator Lyndon B. Johnson, ultimately gaining 24 crucial Lone Star State electoral votes in a very tight election.

So who will be Mitt’s mate? He has campaigned with several prominent Republican officeholders, instantly vaulting them into the VP derby.  These include Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, N.J. Gov. Chris Christie and Sen. Rob Portman of Ohio, all from battleground states that Romney needs to carry to win the election.

Less prominent but interesting choices include New Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte.  She’s a longtime ally who’s receiving scrutiny as a potential contender for the number two spot on the GOP ticket.  Nikki Haley is a GOP rock star (there’s an oxymoron for you) when she became South Carolina’s first female, first Indian-American governor in 2011. Conservatives love her for confronting  the Department of Labor when it tried to deny South Carolina a Boeing manufacturing plan because of the state’s right-to-work laws. Susana Martinez, governor of New Mexico, could appeal to both female and Hispanic independents. But South Carolina is almost assuredly going to vote Republican. Ayotte and Martinez are from smaller states (thought EVERY electoral vote will count in this election) and have no national profile.

I am predicting today, 5.30.12, that Rob Portman of Ohio will be the choice.  He brings some foreign policy credentials that Romney is short on and has strongly supported Israel, something the President has been a little squishy on.  We’ll see if my prediction is right.  



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One Comment
  1. Jerry O permalink

    OK, so this prediction didn’t work out so well….
    Mediaguy 44

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